Economic conditions for the pig production
P. SPANDAU
A stronger competition on the Eastern and South Eastern Asian import markets will have an indirect impact on the price competitiveness throughout the EU, the most important pork exporter, and thus on the future development of worldwide pig production. The price competition, however, will result in lower rates of return for the EU producers. The German strategy to even aggravate EU guidelineless concerning animal husbandry and environment will restrict investment possiblities of pig producers, because these politics unilaterally increase production costs. Only the upper quarter of pig production farms with a production capacity of at present more than 100 sows respectively 1000 fattening places will be in the position to invest in pig husbandry based on the above mentioned legal parameters. In the worst case this would mean that in the long run merely one third of the German producers would be able to maintain pig production. Consequently the German pig stock would decrease by up to 35 %. Only if the German political and legal conditions strictly adhere to the EU guidelines, the present scale of pork production in Germany, taking into account a further increase in efficiency, can be uphold by less but more powerful farms.